Labour vote shares in Essex
May 12, 2015 8 Comments
Constituency | 2010 vote % | 2015 vote % | Improvement |
Chelmsford | 11.0 | 17.6 | 6.6 |
Southend West | 13.4 | 18.3 | 4.9 |
Rochford and Southend East | 20.3 | 24.7 | 4.4 |
Colchester | 12.3 | 16.2 | 3.9 |
Brentwood and Ongar | 9.9 | 12.5 | 2.6 |
Saffron Walden | 9.7 | 11.8 | 2.1 |
Epping Forest | 14.3 | 16.1 | 1.8 |
Basildon and Billericay | 23.0 | 23.7 | 0.7 |
Harwich and North Essex | 19.9 | 19.7 | -0.2 |
Castle Point | 14.7 | 13.8 | -0.9 |
Maldon | 12.7 | 11.8 | -0.9 |
Braintree | 19.9 | 18.5 | -1.4 |
Rayleigh and Wickford | 14.5 | 12.6 | -1.9 |
Witham | 18.5 | 15.8 | -2.7 |
Harlow | 33.7 | 30.0 | -3.7 |
Thurrock | 36.6 | 32.6 | -4.0 |
South Basildon and East Thurrock | 31.0 | 25.2 | -5.8 |
Clacton | 25.0 | 14.4 | -10.6 |
This table lists the eighteen Essex Parliamentary constituencies, ordered by the percentage improvement in the Labour vote.
I could have ordered this table in quite a number of ways, but I am proud of managing the second best jump in vote share in Essex, and delighted that Labour is now second in Southend West. Whilst it is some distance from being a marginal, we are now the main challenger here – and there is more anti-Tory vote to squeeze.
I am aware that very campaign has its own story, and of the incredible amount of work put in by candidates and their teams.
I would suggest that the priority seats remain those with the largest absolute vote share. This means, in order, Thurrock, Harlow, South Basildon and East Thurrock. The two Southend seats are fourth and eighth.
For me the story of the 2015 elections and the Labour campaign is best summarised by looking at Clacton. It seems obvious to me that Labour was leaking more support to UKIP than had been previously acknowledged.