The pecking order in Essex
May 16, 2015 Leave a comment
When asked about the constituencies in Essex in terms of most winnable for Essex, as I was earlier today, I said that I would look at what the numbers from May 7th indicated. The data here shows how far Labour is from victory (Gap). Whilst every constituency is unique, and one has to factor in how much squeezable vote there is, as well as the history of each seat and whether there are local authority representatives from Labour, this is, I believe, as good a yardstick as any.
|constituency||Labour vote %||position||gap %|
|South Basildon and East Thurrock||25.2||3||18.2|
|Rochford and Southend East||24.7||2||21.7|
|Basildon and Billericay||23.7||2||29.0|
|Harwich and North Essex||19.7||2||31.3|
|Rayleigh and Wickford||12.6||3||42.1|
|Brentwood and Ongar||12.5||3||50.7|
I do not think there are too many surprises here, although Colchester at number five may raise an eyebrow or two – Colchester was last won by Labour in 1945. Mind you, Rochford and Southend East (and its predecessor seats) has never been Labour.