The UKIP damp squib
January 25, 2014 3 Comments
A number of Southend’s bloggers have written about the West Leigh by-election result. Some have been matter-of-fact whilst others are talking up the UKIP result. I was a little surprised by the UKIP performance, but my surprise comes from it being so poor.
Third place and twenty per cent of the vote is no surge or signifier of big things to come. The look on the faces of those Ukippers who turned up at Thursday’s count did not tell a story of jubilation, but rather of disappointment.
Of course UKIP will have an impact – that twenty per cent is coming from somewhere, the bulk of it judging by the numbers is from disgruntled Conservative supporters. Of course, this is a superficial analysis – the UKIP vote could be made up of those who have not voted in recent elections, and the Conservative decline may be made up of abstentions. Either way, Tory HQ in Southend will be worried.
What it does show is that the council chamber is not about to see significant numbers of UKIP members – their spoiler vote is still not showing signs of breakthrough, although I admit that West Shoebury does give them cause for optimism.
Tino Callaghan said it all when he spoke after the count of him being “a one-man band”. UKIP’s vote comes almost in spite of them.
On another note, Matthew Dent has mentioned that I ignored the spoilt ball papers when writing about the result. There is no hard a and fast rule about this, but if we are to report on ballot appears issued that did not contribute to any candidate’s vote share then we could equally include the postal votes that were not returned. Just a thought.
Anyway, read what others have written about the result:
A Mad Man With A Blog – Predictable election ends predictably
The Rambles of Neil Monnery – The story of the West Leigh by-election is the rise of UKIP
Shoebury Blogger – West Leigh By-Election Result
Councillor Nigel Holdcroft – Well done Georgina
Councillor Paul Collins – Lib Dems miss taking West Leigh by 55 votes
markflewitt – Georgina…..now serving West Leigh